2011 Season Race Results

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ZPT log for Race 4, GS at Sugarbowl on February 6th 2011

Generated Wed Mar 16 14:11:43 2011 by hcp version 11.9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                       ZPT Calculations for Course Expert
                       ==================================

Classes: S0 S1 S2 S3 S4

ZPTs calculated from individual pacesetter handicaps and times
(computed as average of those marked):

|               Run 1                 |               Run 2                 |
| Bib Pacesetter              ZPT     | Bib Pacesetter              ZPT     |
| --- ----------              ---     | --- ----------              ---     |
| 806 Gary Erickson          25.93    | 806 Gary Erickson          25.80    |
| 134 Dan Walker             26.83    |   3 Craig Faitel           26.72    |
|   2 Bob Ellis              26.92    | 134 Dan Walker             26.78    |
| 175 Ian Puleston           27.12«   | 175 Ian Puleston           27.30«   |
|   3 Craig Faitel           27.15«   |  16 JD Harper              27.49«   |
| 688 Ken Simpson            27.23«   | 645 Barbara Mccabe         27.54«   |
| 645 Barbara Mccabe         28.01    | 688 Ken Simpson            27.97    |
|  16 JD Harper              28.51    |   2 Bob Ellis              28.16    |
| 774 Nancy Ellis            28.86    | 774 Nancy Ellis            28.65    |
|                           ======    |                           ======    |
|          Resultant ZPT:    27.16    |          Resultant ZPT:    27.44    |
|                           ======    |                           ======    |
| (selection was by middle cluster)   | (selection was by middle cluster)   |

Final ZPT information for Expert:
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|              |       Run 1        |       Run 2        |      Combined      |
|              |       -----        |       -----        |      --------      |
| Final ZPT:   |       27.16        |       27.44        |       54.60        |
| Strikes:     |   3.22% (1 of 31)  |  15.62% (5 of 32)  |   3.22% (1 of 31)  |
| In handicap: |  38.70% (12 of 31) |  50.00% (16 of 32) |  41.93% (13 of 31) |
| In 2 h/caps: |  70.96% (22 of 31) |  75.00% (24 of 32) |  74.19% (23 of 31) |
| Beat cutoff: |  93.54% (29 of 31) |  96.87% (31 of 32) |  93.54% (29 of 31) |
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Pacesetters Handicaps based on final ZPTs:

Bib Pacesetter            | Rated  | Run 1  | Run 2  |
--- ----------            | -----  | -----  | -----  |
  3 Craig Faitel          | 20.69% | 20.65% | 17.52% |
806 Gary Erickson         | 22.34% | 16.82% | 15.05% |
  2 Bob Ellis             | 22.36% | 21.31% | 25.58% |
175 Ian Puleston          | 23.64% | 23.49% | 23.03% |
134 Dan Walker            | 27.76% | 26.21% | 24.70% |
 16 JD Harper             | 38.96% | 45.91% | 39.24% |
645 Barbara McCabe        | 40.28% | 44.69% | 40.81% |
774 Nancy Ellis           | 46.56% | 55.78% | 53.02% |
688 Ken Simpson           | 56.30% | 56.73% | 59.36% |

Strikers on course Expert:
                                      |    Run 1    |    Run 2    |  Combined   |
                                      | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks |
                                      | ----- ----- | ----- ----- | ----- ----- |
|806 Gary Erickson           S1VM+OM  | 16.82%   1  | 15.05%   1  | 15.93%   1  |
|842 John McGregor           S4VM     |  No strike  | 36.07%   1  |  No strike  |
| 11 Mitchell McPeek         S3VM     |  No strike  | 32.39%   1  |  No strike  |
|121 Dirk Jagdmann           S4OM     |  No strike  | 37.86%   1  |  No strike  |
| 28 Jim Stewart             S4OM     |  No strike  | 38.52%   1  |  No strike  |


ZPTs resulting from different pacesetter selection algorithms:
(informative only - not used in setting ZPTs)

|                  |           Run 1           |           Run 2           |
|  ZPT Algorithm   |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |
|  -------------   |   ---   |     -------     |   ---   |     -------     |
| Average ZPT      |  27.39  |    2 (6.45%)    |  27.37  |    5 (15.62%)   |
| Tightest cluster |  27.16  |    1 (3.22%)    |  27.44  |    5 (15.62%)   |
| Fastest cluster  |  26.56  |    0 (0%)       |  26.43  |    0 (0%)       |
| Middle cluster   |  27.16  |    1 (3.22%)    |  27.44  |    5 (15.62%)   |
| Slowest cluster  |  28.46  |    8 (25.80%)   |  28.26  |    6 (18.75%)   |
|                  |         | From 31 racers  |         | From 32 racers  |




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      ZPT Calculations for Course Advanced
                      ====================================

Classes: SB6 S5 S6 S7

ZPTs calculated from individual pacesetter handicaps and times
(computed as average of those marked):

|               Run 1                 |               Run 2                 |
| Bib Pacesetter              ZPT     | Bib Pacesetter              ZPT     |
| --- ----------              ---     | --- ----------              ---     |
| 134 Dan Walker             26.47    | 645 Barbara Mccabe         25.17    |
|  43 Steve Shepherd         26.57    |  16 JD Harper              26.51    |
|   3 Craig Faitel           26.68«   |  43 Steve Shepherd         26.64«   |
|  16 JD Harper              26.95«   | 134 Dan Walker             27.09«   |
| 645 Barbara Mccabe         27.75    |   3 Craig Faitel           27.35    |
| 774 Nancy Ellis            27.96    | 774 Nancy Ellis            27.92    |
|                           ======    |                           ======    |
|          Resultant ZPT:    26.81    |          Resultant ZPT:    26.86    |
|                           ======    |                           ======    |
| (selection was by middle cluster)   | (selection was by middle cluster)   |

Gives 23.25% strikes (10 out of 43) for run 2
Strike percentage for run 2 is higher than the defined 10.00% limit
Final calculated ZPT for run 2 after adjustments is 26.44

Final ZPT information for Advanced:
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|              |       Run 1        |       Run 2        |      Combined      |
|              |       -----        |       -----        |      --------      |
| Final ZPT:   |       26.81        |       26.44        |       53.25        |
| Strikes:     |  11.90% (5 of 42)  |   9.30% (4 of 43)  |   9.52% (4 of 42)  |
| In handicap: |  42.85% (18 of 42) |  51.16% (22 of 43) |  47.61% (20 of 42) |
| In 2 h/caps: |  80.95% (34 of 42) |  81.39% (35 of 43) |  80.95% (34 of 42) |
| Beat cutoff: |  97.61% (41 of 42) |  95.34% (41 of 43) |  97.61% (41 of 42) |
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Pacesetters Handicaps based on final ZPTs:

Bib Pacesetter            | Rated  | Run 1  | Run 2  |
--- ----------            | -----  | -----  | -----  |
  3 Craig Faitel          | 20.69% | 20.14% | 24.84% |
134 Dan Walker            | 27.76% | 26.18% | 30.93% |
 16 JD Harper             | 38.96% | 39.72% | 39.37% |
645 Barbara McCabe        | 40.28% | 45.20% | 33.58% |
774 Nancy Ellis           | 46.56% | 52.89% | 54.80% |
 43 Steve Shepherd        | 57.75% | 56.35% | 59.00% |

Strikers on course Advanced:
                                      |    Run 1    |    Run 2    |  Combined   |
                                      | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks |
                                      | ----- ----- | ----- ----- | ----- ----- |
|221 Barlow Schuyler         S7VM     | 52.89%   2  | 46.78%   3  | 49.85%   3  |
| 73 Gregg Keeling           S6VM     | 57.18%   1  | 54.65%   1  | 55.92%   1  |
| 95 Maria Mancianti         S7VW     | 67.73%   1  |  No strike  | 68.92%   1  |
| 34 Wendy Sumner            S5VW     | 48.93%   1  | 49.88%   1  | 49.40%   1  |
| 80 Rocky Speakman          S6VM     |  No strike  | 59.98%   1  |  No strike  |
|100 Bill Manfredi           S7VM     | 69.75%   1  |  No strike  |  No strike  |


ZPTs resulting from different pacesetter selection algorithms:
(informative only - not used in setting ZPTs)

|                  |           Run 1           |           Run 2           |
|  ZPT Algorithm   |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |
|  -------------   |   ---   |     -------     |   ---   |     -------     |
| Average ZPT      |  27.06  |    5 (11.90%)   |  26.78  |   10 (23.25%)   |
| Tightest cluster |  26.52  |    3 (7.14%)    |  26.57  |    6 (13.95%)   |
| Fastest cluster  |  26.52  |    3 (7.14%)    |  25.84  |    2 (4.65%)    |
| Middle cluster   |  26.81  |    5 (11.90%)   |  26.86  |   10 (23.25%)   |
| Slowest cluster  |  27.85  |   10 (23.80%)   |  27.63  |   14 (32.55%)   |
|                  |         | From 42 racers  |         | From 43 racers  |




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    ZPT Calculations for Course Intermediate
                    ========================================

Classes: SB9 S8 S9 S10

ZPTs calculated from individual pacesetter handicaps and times
(computed as average of those marked):

|               Run 1                 |               Run 2                 |
| Bib Pacesetter              ZPT     | Bib Pacesetter              ZPT     |
| --- ----------              ---     | --- ----------              ---     |
|  16 JD Harper              19.33    |  16 JD Harper              19.06    |
| 134 Dan Walker             20.07«   | 134 Dan Walker             19.57«   |
| 774 Nancy Ellis            20.24«   | 175 Ian Puleston           19.96«   |
| 645 Barbara Mccabe         21.12    | 645 Barbara Mccabe         20.29    |
|                                     | 774 Nancy Ellis            20.61    |
|                           ======    |                           ======    |
|          Resultant ZPT:    20.15    |          Resultant ZPT:    19.76    |
|                           ======    |                           ======    |
| (selection was by middle cluster)   | (selection was by middle cluster)   |

Gives 58.82% strikes (10 out of 17) for run 1
Strike percentage for run 1 is higher than the defined 10.00% limit
Final calculated ZPT for run 1 after adjustments is 18.25
Gives 55.55% strikes (10 out of 18) for run 2
Strike percentage for run 2 is higher than the defined 10.00% limit
Final calculated ZPT for run 2 after adjustments is 17.77

Final ZPT information for Intermediate:
+--------------------------------------------------------+
|              |       Run 1        |       Run 2        |
|              |       -----        |       -----        |
| Final ZPT:   |       18.25        |       17.77        |
| Strikes:     |   5.88% (1 of 17)  |   5.55% (1 of 18)  |
| In handicap: |  41.17% (7 of 17)  |  44.44% (8 of 18)  |
| In 2 h/caps: |  82.35% (14 of 17) |  72.22% (13 of 18) |
| Beat cutoff: |  88.23% (15 of 17) |  83.33% (15 of 18) |
+--------------------------------------------------------+

Pacesetters Handicaps based on final ZPTs:

Bib Pacesetter            | Rated  | Run 1  | Run 2  |
--- ----------            | -----  | -----  | -----  |
175 Ian Puleston          | 23.64% |   -    | 38.88% |
134 Dan Walker            | 27.76% | 40.54% | 40.74% |
 16 JD Harper             | 38.96% | 47.23% | 49.07% |
645 Barbara McCabe        | 40.28% | 62.35% | 60.21% |
774 Nancy Ellis           | 46.56% | 62.57% | 70.00% |

Strikers on course Intermediate:
                                      |    Run 1    |    Run 2    |  Combined   |
                                      | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks |
                                      | ----- ----- | ----- ----- | ----- ----- |
|132 John Coles              S9VM     | 89.91%   1  |  No strike  | 89.91%   1  |
|151 Robert Fletcher        S10VM     |  No strike  | 104.95%  1  | 104.95%  1  |


ZPTs resulting from different pacesetter selection algorithms:
(informative only - not used in setting ZPTs)

|                  |           Run 1           |           Run 2           |
|  ZPT Algorithm   |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |
|  -------------   |   ---   |     -------     |   ---   |     -------     |
| Average ZPT      |  20.19  |   11 (64.70%)   |  19.89  |   10 (55.55%)   |
| Tightest cluster |  20.15  |   10 (58.82%)   |  20.45  |   13 (72.22%)   |
| Fastest cluster  |  19.70  |    7 (41.17%)   |  19.31  |    8 (44.44%)   |
| Middle cluster   |  20.15  |   10 (58.82%)   |  19.76  |   10 (55.55%)   |
| Slowest cluster  |  20.68  |   13 (76.47%)   |  20.45  |   13 (72.22%)   |
|                  |         | From 17 racers  |         | From 18 racers  |




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

               Final Strike Information For All Courses Combined
               =================================================

806 Gary Erickson         S1VM+OM    15.93%, 1 strike  below  19.00%
 34 Wendy Sumner          S5VW       49.40%, 1 strike  below  50.00%
 73 Gregg Keeling         S6VM       55.92%, 1 strike  below  60.00%
 95 Maria Mancianti       S7VW       68.92%, 1 strike  below  70.00%
221 Barlow Schuyler       S7VM       49.85%, 3 strikes below  70.00%
132 John Coles            S9VM       89.91%, 1 strike  below  90.00%
151 Robert Fletcher       S10VM     104.95%, 1 strike  below 105.00%