2016 Season Race Results

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ZPT log for Race 3, SL at Sugarbowl on February 14th 2016

Generated Wed Mar 23 22:10:18 2016 by hcp version 16.1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                       ZPT Calculations for Course Upper
                       =================================

Classes: S00 S01 S02 S03 S04

ZPTs calculated from individual pacesetter handicaps and times
(computed as average of those marked):

|                Run 1                 |                Run 2                 |
|  Bib Pacesetter               ZPT    |  Bib Pacesetter               ZPT    |
|  --- ----------               ---    |  --- ----------               ---    |
|   21 Mike Ferketich          39.35   |   21 Mike Ferketich          39.61   |
|  650 John McGregor           39.54   |    3 Craig Faitel            42.07   |
|  638 Reed Brady              39.80   |  888 Debi Phelps             42.42   |
|    3 Craig Faitel            40.20   |    4 Ian Puleston            43.02   |
|    1 Bob Ellis               40.63   |  466 Bill Phelps             43.06«  |
|    4 Ian Puleston            41.55«  |  928 Donald Pawlowski        43.12«  |
|  466 Bill Phelps             41.88«  |  650 John McGregor           43.21«  |
|  928 Donald Pawlowski        41.95«  |   17 JD Harper               43.45«  |
|   17 JD Harper               41.98«  |  613 Greg Peairs             44.37«  |
|  888 Debi Phelps             42.13«  |   11 Wendy Sumner            45.30   |
|  627 Joe Brady               42.58   |  804 Mark Ostroff            45.74   |
|  613 Greg Peairs             43.69   |  814 Shayne Wallace          45.85   |
|   11 Wendy Sumner            44.59   |  638 Reed Brady              46.49   |
|  804 Mark Ostroff            44.75   |                                      |
|  814 Shayne Wallace          45.57   |                                      |
|                             ======   |                             ======   |
|            Resultant ZPT:    41.89   |            Resultant ZPT:    43.44   |
|                             ======   |                             ======   |
| (selection was by middle cluster)    | (selection was by middle cluster)    |

Final ZPT information for Upper:
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|              |       Run 1        |       Run 2        |      Combined      |
|              |       -----        |       -----        |      --------      |
| Final ZPT:   |       41.89        |       43.44        |       85.33        |
| Strikes:     |   4.68% (3 of 64)  |   3.17% (2 of 63)  |   1.56% (1 of 64)  |
| In handicap: |  34.37% (22 of 64) |  42.85% (27 of 63) |  29.68% (19 of 64) |
| In 2 h/caps: |  73.43% (47 of 64) |  69.84% (44 of 63) |  60.93% (39 of 64) |
| Beat cutoff: |  92.18% (59 of 64) |  82.53% (52 of 63) |  76.56% (49 of 64) |
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Pacesetters Handicaps based on final ZPTs:

 Bib Pacesetter             | Rated  | Run 1  | Run 2  |
 --- ----------             | -----  | -----  | -----  |
 627 Joe Brady              |  9.05% | 10.86% |   -    |
 638 Reed Brady             | 14.67% |  8.97% | 22.74% |
   3 Craig Faitel           | 14.89% | 10.26% | 11.27% |
   1 Bob Ellis              | 16.91% | 13.41% |   -    |
 613 Greg Peairs            | 28.92% | 34.47% | 31.69% |
 650 John McGregor          | 30.57% | 23.27% | 29.88% |
   4 Ian Puleston           | 33.41% | 32.34% | 32.13% |
 466 Bill Phelps            | 35.98% | 35.95% | 34.80% |
 928 Donald Pawlowski       | 37.47% | 37.69% | 36.46% |
 814 Shayne Wallace         | 41.36% | 53.80% | 49.21% |
  17 JD Harper              | 42.32% | 42.63% | 42.35% |
  11 Wendy Sumner           | 45.36% | 54.73% | 51.61% |
 804 Mark Ostroff           | 53.14% | 63.61% | 61.27% |
 888 Debi Phelps            | 56.43% | 57.34% | 52.78% |
  21 Mike Ferketich         | 57.26% | 47.74% | 43.41% |

Strikers on course Upper:
                                         |    Run 1    |    Run 2    |  Combined   |
                                         | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks |
                                         | ----- ----- | ----- ----- | ----- ----- |
| 651 David Reeves             S02OM     | 20.07%   1  | 19.06%   1  | 19.55%   1  |
| 650 John McGregor            S02SM/SVM | 23.27%   1  |  No strike  |  No strike  |
| 635 Patrick Riordan          S03OM     |  No strike  | 32.36%   1  |  No strike  |
| 633 Kimberly Easel           S04VW     | 39.34%   1  |  No strike  |  No strike  |


ZPTs resulting from different pacesetter selection algorithms:
(informative only - not used in setting ZPTs)

|                  |           Run 1           |           Run 2           |
|  ZPT Algorithm   |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |
|  -------------   |   ---   |     -------     |   ---   |     -------     |
| Average ZPT      |  42.01  |    3 (4.68%)    |  43.67  |    3 (4.76%)    |
| Tightest cluster |  41.89  |    3 (4.68%)    |  43.17  |    1 (1.58%)    |
| Fastest cluster  |  39.90  |    0 (0%)       |  42.03  |    1 (1.58%)    |
| Middle cluster   |  41.89  |    3 (4.68%)    |  43.44  |    2 (3.17%)    |
| Slowest cluster  |  44.23  |   12 (18.75%)   |  45.55  |   16 (25.39%)   |
|                  |         | From 64 racers  |         | From 63 racers  |




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                       ZPT Calculations for Course Middle
                       ==================================

Classes: LGND S05 S06 S07

ZPTs calculated from individual pacesetter handicaps and times
(computed as average of those marked):

|                Run 1                 |                Run 2                 |
|  Bib Pacesetter               ZPT    |  Bib Pacesetter               ZPT    |
|  --- ----------               ---    |  --- ----------               ---    |
|   21 Mike Ferketich          26.86   |   21 Mike Ferketich          27.38   |
|  928 Donald Pawlowski        27.56   |  928 Donald Pawlowski        28.76   |
|    3 Craig Faitel            28.34«  |    3 Craig Faitel            28.99«  |
|  888 Debi Phelps             28.91«  |  888 Debi Phelps             29.20«  |
|  650 John McGregor           29.28«  |  650 John McGregor           29.67«  |
|    1 Bob Ellis               29.68   |    1 Bob Ellis               30.81   |
|  804 Mark Ostroff            30.36   |  804 Mark Ostroff            31.53   |
|                             ======   |                             ======   |
|            Resultant ZPT:    28.84   |            Resultant ZPT:    29.28   |
|                             ======   |                             ======   |
| (selection was by middle cluster)    | (selection was by middle cluster)    |

Final ZPT information for Middle:
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|              |       Run 1        |       Run 2        |      Combined      |
|              |       -----        |       -----        |      --------      |
| Final ZPT:   |       28.84        |       29.28        |       58.12        |
| Strikes:     |      0% (0 of 40)  |   7.50% (3 of 40)  |   2.50% (1 of 40)  |
| In handicap: |  27.50% (11 of 40) |  27.50% (11 of 40) |  22.50% (9 of 40)  |
| In 2 h/caps: |  57.50% (23 of 40) |  57.50% (23 of 40) |  55.00% (22 of 40) |
| Beat cutoff: |  97.50% (39 of 40) |  97.50% (39 of 40) |  97.50% (39 of 40) |
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Pacesetters Handicaps based on final ZPTs:

 Bib Pacesetter             | Rated  | Run 1  | Run 2  |
 --- ----------             | -----  | -----  | -----  |
   3 Craig Faitel           | 14.89% | 12.89% | 13.76% |
   1 Bob Ellis              | 16.91% | 20.31% | 23.05% |
 650 John McGregor          | 30.57% | 32.59% | 32.34% |
 928 Donald Pawlowski       | 37.47% | 31.38% | 35.07% |
 804 Mark Ostroff           | 53.14% | 61.23% | 64.95% |
 888 Debi Phelps            | 56.43% | 56.83% | 56.04% |
  21 Mike Ferketich         | 57.26% | 46.49% | 47.09% |

Strikers on course Middle:
                                         |    Run 1    |    Run 2    |  Combined   |
                                         | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks |
                                         | ----- ----- | ----- ----- | ----- ----- |
| 973 Patrick Glaessner        S06OM     |  No strike  | 57.27%   1  | 59.56%   1  |
| 331 Lena Petrovic            S05OW     |  No strike  | 48.56%   1  |  No strike  |
| 250 Aidan Ramblas            S05JM     |  No strike  | 49.14%   1  |  No strike  |


ZPTs resulting from different pacesetter selection algorithms:
(informative only - not used in setting ZPTs)

|                  |           Run 1           |           Run 2           |
|  ZPT Algorithm   |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |
|  -------------   |   ---   |     -------     |   ---   |     -------     |
| Average ZPT      |  28.71  |    0 (0%)       |  29.47  |    3 (7.50%)    |
| Tightest cluster |  29.29  |    4 (10.00%)   |  28.98  |    1 (2.50%)    |
| Fastest cluster  |  27.58  |    0 (0%)       |  28.37  |    0 (0%)       |
| Middle cluster   |  28.84  |    0 (0%)       |  29.28  |    3 (7.50%)    |
| Slowest cluster  |  29.77  |    6 (15.00%)   |  30.67  |    7 (17.50%)   |
|                  |         | From 40 racers  |         | From 40 racers  |




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                       ZPT Calculations for Course Lower
                       =================================

Classes: B00 B05 SB6 B08 SB9 S08 S09 S10

ZPTs calculated from individual pacesetter handicaps and times for run 1
(computed as average of those marked):

 Bib Pacesetter               ZPT
 --- ----------               ---
 650 John McGregor           19.83 
 928 Donald Pawlowski        19.88 
   4 Ian Puleston            20.08«
 804 Mark Ostroff            20.63«
 466 Bill Phelps             20.80«
                            ======
           Resultant ZPT:    20.50
                            ======
(selection was manually)

The ZPT for run 2 is taken from run 1

Final ZPT information for Lower:
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|              |       Run 1        |       Run 2        |      Combined      |
|              |       -----        |       -----        |      --------      |
| Final ZPT:   |       20.50        |       20.50        |       41.00        |
| Strikes:     |  16.66% (2 of 12)  |   8.33% (1 of 12)  |  16.66% (2 of 12)  |
| In handicap: |  16.66% (2 of 12)  |  41.66% (5 of 12)  |  41.66% (5 of 12)  |
| In 2 h/caps: |  50.00% (6 of 12)  |  58.33% (7 of 12)  |  58.33% (7 of 12)  |
| Beat cutoff: |  75.00% (9 of 12)  |  75.00% (9 of 12)  |  75.00% (9 of 12)  |
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Pacesetters Handicaps based on final ZPTs:

 Bib Pacesetter             | Rated  | Run 1  | Run 2  |
 --- ----------             | -----  | -----  | -----  |
 650 John McGregor          | 30.57% | 26.34% |   -    |
   4 Ian Puleston           | 33.41% | 30.73% |   -    |
 466 Bill Phelps            | 35.98% | 38.00% |   -    |
 928 Donald Pawlowski       | 37.47% | 33.36% |   -    |
 804 Mark Ostroff           | 53.14% | 54.14% |   -    |

Strikers on course Lower:
                                         |    Run 1    |    Run 2    |  Combined   |
                                         | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks | H'cap Strks |
                                         | ----- ----- | ----- ----- | ----- ----- |
|  67 Toniann Derion           S10VW     | 101.17%  1  | 101.75%  1  | 101.17%  1  |
| 659 Wendy Hobbie             S08OW     | 78.63%   1  |  No strike  | 78.63%   1  |


ZPTs resulting from different pacesetter selection algorithms:
(informative only - not used in setting ZPTs)

|                  |           Run 1           |           Run 2           |
|  ZPT Algorithm   |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |   ZPT   |     Strikes     |
|  -------------   |   ---   |     -------     |   ---   |     -------     |
| Average ZPT      |  20.24  |    1 (8.33%)    |    -    |         -       |
| Tightest cluster |  19.85  |    0 (0%)       |    -    |         -       |
| Fastest cluster  |  19.85  |    0 (0%)       |    -    |         -       |
| Middle cluster   |  19.98  |    0 (0%)       |    -    |         -       |
| Slowest cluster  |  20.71  |    2 (16.66%)   |    -    |         -       |
|                  |         | From 12 racers  |         |                 |




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

               Final Strike Information For All Courses Combined
               =================================================

 651 David Reeves           S02OM       19.55%, 1 strike  below  26.00%
 973 Patrick Glaessner      S06OM       59.56%, 1 strike  below  60.00%
 659 Wendy Hobbie           S08OW       78.63%, 1 strike  below  80.00%
  67 Toniann Derion         S10VW      101.17%, 1 strike  below 105.00%